
|
After Crisis Adjustment, Recovery and Fragility in East Asia Author/Editor : Jayati Ghosh and C P Chandrasekhar
The global financial crisis that exploded around September 2008 was
just one more in a series of crises that have affected more than sixty
countries in the era of financial liberalization. Of course the latest
crisis is particularly significant in a number of ways: it originated in the core of capitalism, in the
United States; it has spread dramatically across the world, even to countries that earlier seemed to be
relatively secure; it calls into question many of the mainstream economic dogmas that have dominated
economic policy-making for more than two decades. Yet, in some other ways, the current crisis is not
very different from those that have preceded it in the recent past.
July 2007 marked the completion of a decade since the onset of financial crisis in several East and
Southeast Asian countries. The crisis of 1997 focused attention on the dangers associated with a world
dominated by fluid finance. It brought home the fact that financial liberalization can result in crises
even in so-called ‘miracle economies’. Prior to the crisis, the pace and pattern of growth in many
countries in that region were challenging the dominance of the original capitalist powers over the
global economy. The 1997 crisis set back that process, and even after a decade many of these countries
have not been able to recover their pre-crisis dynamism.
In hindsight, it is clear that currency and financial crises have devastating effects on the real
economy. The ensuing liquidity crunch and wave of bankruptcies result in severe deflation, with
attendant consequences for employment and the standard of living. The adoption, post-crisis, of
conventional IMF stabilization strategies tends to worsen the situation: governments continue to adopt
very restrictive macroeconomic policies and restrain public expenditure even in crucial social sectors.
Finally, asset-price deflation and devaluation pave the way for foreign capital inflows that finance a
transfer of ownership of assets from domestic to foreign investors, thereby enabling a conquest by
international capital of important domestic assets and resources.
This book delineates the alternative trajectories of post-crisis development in different economies,
the lessons they offer and the implications they have for alternative policies. It is important to take
stock of these processes because it is becoming evident that the international financial system has still
not evolved effective ways of preventing such crises among emerging economies and of reducing their
damaging effects. This book therefore has a wider focus than the East Asian ‘crisis economies’ alone: it
tries to situate post-crisis developments in a broader analysis of the recent political economy of
international capitalism, in particular, the role of mobile finance. It also offers comparative
perspectives on post-crisis restructuring in other developing countries that have experienced crisis; as
well as on the experience of other Asian countries that were affected by, but did not experience the
financial crisis. While the essays in this book were originally written in 2007, they remain
extraordinarily relevant to the present times, not least because they anticipate the processes that led to
the global financial meltdown in 2008. Many of them predict the severe impact the current global
crisis is having on both financial variables and the real economy, in developing countries in particular. Price Rs. 650 |